Grêmio Barueri vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
OPE
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 0
GRÊ
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRÊ
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
LUZ
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
GRÊ
3 - 3
LON
22%
24%
53%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 0
GRÊ
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
TOM
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
TOM
4 - 0
GOI
50%
26%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
LUZ
0 - 1
TOM
33%
27%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
TRE
2 - 1
TOM
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |