Greece U21 vs Croatia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
AND
0 - 1
GRC
9%
16%
75%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
GRC
1 - 1
BLR
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GRC
0 - 1
HUN
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
GRC
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
GRC
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
FRO
2 - 4
CRO
6%
11%
83%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 0
ROU
62%
21%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 0
CRO
79%
14%
8%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
UKR
2 - 0
CRO
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
ENG
1 - 2
CRO
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |