Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-5
Granada vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 1
LEV
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
RSO
4 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GET
1 - 0
GRA
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 2
MLL
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
ZAR
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 0
RSO
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
RSO
4 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
RSO
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RSO
3 - 2
MAL
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
BET
2 - 3
RSO
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |