De Graafschap vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
RKC
1 - 0
GRA
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 2
AZA
15%
23%
63%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
RJC
0 - 2
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 4
VVV
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TWE
0 - 2
FEY
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
S04
4 - 1
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 1
TWE
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 0
S04
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PSV
2 - 6
TWE
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |