Rio Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
Petrópolis vs Volta Redonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
77.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
PET
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
OLA
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 0
PET
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 2
PET
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
APA
2 - 3
VOL
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 0
FFL
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 1
OPE
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
REM
2 - 1
VOL
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 0
ALT
78%
15%
8%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |