Goiás EC vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
GOI
3 - 1
ITU
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 1
GOI
50%
27%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 0
GOI
22%
26%
53%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
GOI
2 - 0
ATP
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
GOI
3 - 0
IAC
80%
15%
6%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
FFL
55%
26%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
COT
2 - 0
GRE
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
CRB
1 - 3
GRE
19%
27%
54%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 3
PPE
56%
26%
18%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SCI
2 - 1
GRE
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |