Globo vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
40.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
GLO
2 - 1
ACD
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 7
ARN
11%
22%
67%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
4 - 0
GLO
83%
13%
5%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -3 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
GLO
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 1
POT
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +3 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
POT
3 - 0
FEL
67%
19%
13%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 1
ABC
7%
16%
77%
|
31 | 68 | 37 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
ABC
6 - 0
FEL
86%
11%
3%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | -1 |