Segunda Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Girona vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
GIR
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 1
RMC
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 1
GIR
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 0
FCB
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 1
GIR
62%
21%
16%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
GIR
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ALC
4 - 0
SAB
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
RMC
4 - 0
ALC
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 3
ALM
31%
26%
42%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FCB
1 - 1
ALC
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |