Gimnasia Concepción vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
8º
9º
47
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
GIM
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 1
DHA
20%
27%
54%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
GIM
50%
28%
22%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SLP
0 - 1
GIM
56%
26%
19%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 0
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 0
IND
42%
29%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
SLP
1 - 1
SPB
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPB
4 - 0
LIN
53%
25%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
DPR
2 - 0
SPB
35%
27%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DFR
3 - 2
SPB
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |