Gimnasia Concepción vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
59.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
8º
9º
19
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IND
3 - 0
GIM
49%
28%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 0
LIN
62%
23%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 2
SLP
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LIN
1 - 0
GIM
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 4
DHA
23%
28%
50%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
DHA
1 - 1
9DJ
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 1
DHA
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 1
GYT
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |