Gimnasia Concepción vs Def. de Pronunciamiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
8º
9º
40
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
DFR
1 - 0
GIM
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 2
SPB
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
GIM
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 0
DHA
26%
27%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
IND
3 - 1
GIM
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
DPR
2 - 1
IND
33%
30%
37%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SLP
0 - 1
DPR
54%
26%
20%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
DPR
1 - 1
LIN
54%
25%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
DFR
1 - 0
DPR
33%
27%
40%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DPR
1 - 0
SPB
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |