Gimnasia Concepción vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
8º
9º
29
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 0
GIM
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 1
DHA
15%
26%
59%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IND
3 - 0
GIM
49%
28%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 0
LIN
62%
23%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DFR
2 - 0
LIN
37%
28%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DPR
1 - 0
DFR
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DFR
2 - 0
9DJ
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SLP
1 - 2
DFR
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 3
DFR
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |