Gibraltar vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
GIB
0 - 6
NED
2%
9%
88%
|
38 | 93 | 55 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FRA
14 - 0
GIB
96%
4%
0%
|
38 | 95 | 57 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
GIB
0 - 4
IRL
9%
19%
73%
|
38 | 84 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
WAL
4 - 0
GIB
85%
12%
3%
|
39 | 84 | 45 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GRC
5 - 0
GIB
86%
11%
3%
|
39 | 84 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CYP
1 - 0
LTU
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
MNE
2 - 0
LTU
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LTU
2 - 2
HUN
13%
22%
65%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BGR
0 - 2
LTU
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LTU
1 - 3
SRB
13%
25%
63%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | -1 |