Gibraltar vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
78.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
MNE
4 - 1
GIB
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
GIB
0 - 3
NOR
8%
16%
76%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
GIB
1 - 1
LIE
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SMR
0 - 0
GIB
18%
17%
65%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
BGR
3 - 0
GIB
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NED
2 - 0
LVA
93%
6%
1%
|
92 | 55 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
TUR
4 - 2
NED
15%
22%
64%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
POL
1 - 2
NED
24%
23%
54%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
NED
3 - 1
BIH
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
NED
1 - 1
ESP
36%
24%
40%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |