Genoa vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
M05
3 - 2
GEN
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 4
GEN
21%
24%
54%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
CAG
0 - 1
GEN
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
GEN
3 - 4
ATL
14%
20%
67%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
BOL
0 - 2
GEN
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 0
FCS
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
PRG
2 - 0
CES
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PRG
6 - 0
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
TER
1 - 0
PRG
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
PRG
2 - 1
COM
66%
20%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |