Genoa vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
BAR
0 - 0
GEN
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1939 |
GEN
1 - 3
INT
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
GEN
6 - 1
TOR
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
ASS
1 - 2
GEN
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
GEN
3 - 0
INT
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
LIV
2 - 2
INT
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
NAP
3 - 1
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
3 - 1
ROM
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
3 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
LIV
1 - 0
ASL
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |