Genoa vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1991 |
ATL
0 - 0
GEN
53%
27%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
GEN
3 - 0
INT
23%
29%
48%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
GEN
2 - 2
CAG
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
43%
30%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
GEN
3 - 1
LAZ
55%
27%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1991 |
JUV
4 - 2
PIS
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
NAP
1 - 1
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
JUV
0 - 3
ACM
49%
26%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
JUV
1 - 0
FCB
50%
26%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
CAG
0 - 0
JUV
14%
25%
61%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |