Genoa vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 1
GEN
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
GEN
3 - 1
VER
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
ROM
2 - 1
GEN
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 0
CRO
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 0
GEN
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 0
NAP
22%
24%
54%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SAS
1 - 0
FIO
28%
25%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
3 - 4
LAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 0
SPA
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 2
FIO
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |