Genoa vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
GEN
4 - 1
FIO
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 0
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
CAG
2 - 1
GEN
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
GEN
3 - 1
VIC
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 1
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
GEN
4 - 1
FIO
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
FIO
2 - 0
MAN
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
FIO
5 - 0
CAT
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
MES
0 - 3
FIO
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
INT
6 - 2
FIO
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |