Genoa Sub 19 vs US Alessandria Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SAS
0 - 1
GEN
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GEN
0 - 1
CAG
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GEN
6 - 0
PES
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +3 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 2
GEN
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GEN
5 - 0
LAZ
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
USA
0 - 4
PUB
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
REG
3 - 3
USA
28%
21%
51%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PAR
6 - 1
USA
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |