General Velásquez vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
9º
3º
22
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 43 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 43 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 38 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 32 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 31 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 29 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 24 |
13º
|
29% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 20 |
14º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
GVE
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FVC
1 - 1
GVE
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GVE
6 - 2
LAU
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DLI
0 - 2
GVE
30%
27%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GVE
2 - 0
OVA
49%
27%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
CON
4 - 0
LAU
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
CON
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CON
1 - 3
CDM
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OVA
2 - 1
CON
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CON
3 - 2
FVC
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |