Gaziantep vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
17º
18º
77
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
2º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
97.5% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 40 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
92.5% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaziantep
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
IST
1 - 1
GFK
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
GFK
1 - 1
IST
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
GIR
2 - 1
GFK
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
GFK
1 - 1
BJK
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
GFK
3 - 1
BOL
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FEN
0 - 3
GAL
59%
22%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 2
FEN
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
FEN
4 - 0
HAT
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 0
FEN
38%
25%
38%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
FEN
3 - 1
IST
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |