Gares vs River Ega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+109%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ADR
2 - 1
GAR
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GAR
1 - 0
MUT
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ZAR
1 - 3
GAR
53%
24%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ART
0 - 3
GAR
65%
20%
15%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
GAR
1 - 5
BET
30%
26%
45%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
River Ega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 3
ART
45%
22%
34%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BET
3 - 1
RIV
68%
19%
13%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 2
CDL
24%
20%
57%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MEN
2 - 1
RIV
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
RIV
0 - 1
CDI
27%
23%
50%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |