Gares vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.4%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALU
3 - 4
GAR
25%
23%
53%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
GAR
27%
22%
50%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
GAR
0 - 0
AOI
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 2
GAR
32%
24%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 1
PEN
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 2
AOI
7%
16%
77%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
MUR
87%
9%
3%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 1
PEN
5%
12%
83%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
INJ
4 - 0
MUR
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
MUT
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |