Gareji vs WIT Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
9º
1º
31
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
45 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 57 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 54 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 50 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 39 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
43.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 60% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GAR
31%
25%
44%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 5
GAR
32%
25%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
GAR
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 1
KOL
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MET
2 - 3
GAR
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
WIT Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
WIT
3 - 0
LOK
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
WIT
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
WIT
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 0
SIO
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
WIT
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |