Gap vs Monaco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SAE
6 - 0
GAP
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
GAP
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GAP
1 - 1
ALB
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
MON
3 - 2
GAP
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
UZE
6 - 1
GAP
51%
26%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
COL
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
GDB
61%
23%
17%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 0
MON
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
TAR
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ROD
0 - 0
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |