Fulham vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
FUL
1 - 2
REA
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
FUL
1 - 0
STO
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
LUT
3 - 3
FUL
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
FUL
2 - 1
LEE
39%
25%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BRE
1 - 0
FUL
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 2
ASV
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
WAT
3 - 0
ASV
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
ASV
1 - 0
NOR
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
ASV
1 - 3
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
ASV
5 - 0
LIV
9%
17%
74%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | +2 |