Fulham vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 2
FUL
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
FUL
1 - 2
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 2
FUL
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
WIG
1 - 1
FUL
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
FUL
5 - 3
SHW
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 3
ASV
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
MKD
1 - 4
ARS
7%
16%
77%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
32%
23%
45%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
ARS
3 - 2
WAT
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |