Fuente del Rey vs La Jara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
12.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuente del Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 3
FER
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
GIL
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
FER
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FER
4 - 1
EST
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
FER
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Jara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
LAJ
1 - 2
ECI
7%
14%
79%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
5 - 1
LAJ
70%
17%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LAJ
7 - 1
PAR
41%
22%
37%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GIL
3 - 1
LAJ
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LAJ
1 - 6
MAR
16%
18%
67%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |