FK Metta vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
9º
8º
28
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 89 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 80 |
2º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 68 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
82.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 40 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 33 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 2
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
FSM
70%
18%
13%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 1
FAS
23%
22%
56%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 0
FSM
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
PAI
6 - 2
FSM
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 2
FKT
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
HLI
2 - 1
LIE
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 0
LIE
38%
23%
39%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 0
LIE
33%
23%
44%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LIE
2 - 1
KOL
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |