France U17 vs Northern Ireland U17s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
FRA
4 - 1
DEU
31%
24%
44%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
FRA
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FRA
3 - 0
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
GRC
65%
21%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
RUS
0 - 1
FRA
24%
24%
52%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
NIR
2 - 4
GEO
44%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NLD
1 - 1
NIR
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
4 - 0
NIR
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
SVN
0 - 0
NIR
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TUR
3 - 4
NIR
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |