Forward Madison vs Lexington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
6º
32
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
FMA
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 0
NCO
29%
28%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 0
RIC
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 0
OKS
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CRW
3 - 1
FMA
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lexington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LSC
3 - 5
CRW
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
LSC
2 - 2
CHA
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
CVF
2 - 2
LSC
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
NCO
3 - 2
LSC
79%
14%
7%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LSC
1 - 1
GTR
14%
21%
66%
|
28 | 55 | 27 | +1 |