Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
KÖL
1 - 1
VFB
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
KÖL
1 - 2
BSC
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
KÖL
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
WEG
0 - 2
KÖL
11%
20%
69%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 2
KÖL
12%
21%
67%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
S04
1 - 2
ROT
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 2
PRE
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
VFB
0 - 1
ROT
10%
19%
71%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ROT
4 - 1
FOR
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 1
WUP
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |