Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
F95
2 - 3
ERZ
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
KSC
1 - 1
F95
46%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
F95
1 - 1
BVB
12%
18%
70%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
F95
0 - 3
GCZ
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
F95
1 - 0
FCU
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FCN
3 - 1
FCU
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FSV
2 - 1
FCN
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
FCN
0 - 0
SGF
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
ERZ
0 - 1
FCN
25%
26%
50%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VFR
1 - 2
FCN
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |