Fortuna Camargo vs Guarnizo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FOC
2 - 1
MER
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 0
FOC
23%
20%
57%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 3
FOC
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FOC
4 - 0
SRO
91%
7%
3%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 3
FOC
20%
18%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Guarnizo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GNZ
6 - 1
ESP
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MNT
0 - 0
GNZ
35%
22%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GNZ
2 - 0
MDC
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
GNZ
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
GNZ
31%
22%
47%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |