1a B Cla. Playoffs Final Final
Global 2-1
Fortaleza vs Cúcuta Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
CUC
1 - 0
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
BJC
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LEO
3 - 0
FOR
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
FOR
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
CUC
1 - 0
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 0
CUC
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CUC
1 - 0
AFC
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CUC
1 - 1
MIL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 0
CUC
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |