Fortaleza EC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
CRB
2 - 0
FOR
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
FOR
27%
27%
47%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
6 - 0
RIO
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
BAR
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 1
FOR
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CUI
1 - 3
SAN
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
CRB
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
6 - 0
TRE
66%
21%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
SAN
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |