Fortaleza EC vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
52.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
FLA
15%
24%
62%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 0
FOR
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 0
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 1
FOR
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
BOT
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
BAH
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
ATM
1 - 4
GRE
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
CEA
79%
14%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 0
COR
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |