Fortaleza EC vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2003 |
FOR
0 - 1
VAS
22%
23%
55%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FFL
2 - 2
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 2
PAY
41%
26%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
GRE
3 - 1
FOR
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 1
JUV
41%
27%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
CRI
2 - 0
PAY
41%
25%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 0
CRI
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
CRI
1 - 0
FFL
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
CRI
1 - 0
SCI
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 0
CRI
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |