Fortaleza EC vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.9%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.1%
3%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
IGU
88%
10%
3%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 5
FOR
6%
19%
76%
|
90 | 36 | 54 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
HOR
90%
9%
2%
|
90 | 39 | 51 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
FOR
34%
28%
39%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
GOI
68%
19%
13%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 7
ARN
11%
22%
67%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
4 - 0
GLO
83%
13%
5%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ACD
0 - 1
ARN
13%
21%
66%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 0
ACD
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
0 - 0
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |