Canadian Championship Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Forge vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
YOR
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
YOR
0 - 3
FOR
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAV
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
FOR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
NSC
4 - 1
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COC
0 - 0
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
ORL
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
CIN
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SES
5 - 0
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |