Força e Luz vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
FEL
1 - 4
ARN
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
FEL
4 - 3
GLO
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 1
FEL
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
POT
0 - 2
FEL
62%
19%
18%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
FEL
0 - 0
PAL
50%
22%
29%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ABC
2 - 2
ARN
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 2
ABC
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
ABC
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ABC
0 - 0
CEA
20%
25%
55%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
AQU
0 - 1
ABC
18%
23%
60%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |