Fontenay vs Le Mans II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
8º
30
1º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 20.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
0 - 0
FON
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
USS
0 - 0
FON
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
FON
1 - 1
ACP
68%
18%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 2
FON
27%
22%
50%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FON
0 - 2
SAB
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Le Mans II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ACP
1 - 2
LEM
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LEM
1 - 4
SAB
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
ESO
2 - 0
LEM
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LEM
1 - 1
SNA
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SCB
1 - 0
LEM
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |