Follo vs Eidsvold TF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
13º
10º
38
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 53 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 47 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 44 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 42 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 10 |
13º
|
71% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 9 |
14º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ULL
1 - 2
FOL
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KJE
2 - 0
FOL
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 1
SKE
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STB
4 - 2
FOL
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
4 - 0
ALT
38%
24%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Eidsvold TF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
EID
3 - 1
STR
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
EID
3 - 5
SAN
40%
22%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 2
EID
32%
25%
44%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
EID
2 - 1
ASA
38%
22%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
EID
2 - 0
GJO
76%
14%
10%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |