Carioca 1 Semi-finals
Global 8-2
Fluminense vs Volta Redonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 1
FLU
11%
23%
67%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 5
FLU
6%
20%
74%
|
88 | 46 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FLU
3 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 0
VAS
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
VOL
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 1
FLU
11%
23%
67%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
BOA
3 - 3
VOL
12%
18%
71%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAD
0 - 6
VOL
10%
18%
72%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 4
VOL
12%
20%
68%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |