Fluminense vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
53.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLU
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 0
FLU
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 2
FLA
16%
23%
61%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 1
COR
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2020 |
COR
0 - 0
PAL
27%
29%
44%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 0
PPE
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAN
87%
11%
3%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 1
AGU
87%
11%
3%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |