Fluminense vs Operário MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BAN
0 - 1
FLU
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1985 |
FLU
0 - 0
FER
64%
23%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1985 |
ARG
1 - 0
FLU
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1985 |
FER
1 - 0
FLU
40%
31%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1985 |
VAS
0 - 0
FLU
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Operário MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
POR
3 - 2
OPE
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1984 |
FLU
2 - 0
OPE
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
SAN
1 - 1
OPE
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1984 |
OPE
0 - 0
FLU
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |