Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 4-2
Fluminense vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
14.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
CRI
2 - 1
FLU
14%
23%
63%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
FLU
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
FLU
0 - 1
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
CCP
0 - 2
FLU
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 2
FLU
19%
26%
55%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
CRI
2 - 1
FLU
14%
23%
63%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
CRI
1 - 0
FFL
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MIR
2 - 0
CRI
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 1
CRI
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CRI
2 - 0
PAR
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |