Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
TIG
0 - 3
FLU
9%
17%
74%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FLU
5 - 1
FRI
83%
13%
5%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
CON
1 - 1
FLU
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 0
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
OLA
0 - 0
FLU
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 1
DUQ
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
AME
1 - 3
BOT
11%
19%
70%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 2
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 2
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
REC
1 - 0
BOT
11%
18%
71%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |