Fluminense vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
3 - 1
CAB
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
LIG
0 - 0
FLU
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
51%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
FLA
1 - 4
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
FLU
6 - 1
AME
86%
11%
3%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 3
ARS
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
OLI
60%
24%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIB
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
COL
3 - 0
ARS
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ARS
2 - 0
HUR
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |